normal accidents (perrow 1999) complexity, coupling, and catastrophic potential inspired by accidents like TMI, chemical plant mishaps, aircraft collisions also a postscript on Y2K written in 1999 compelling delineation of four classes of victims affected by an accident (1) operators (2) users (3) system outsiders (4) future (fetus, future user) passive versus active risks passive -- safety beyond user control airline, concerts, shopping malls generally someone else making a profit. using Internet is passive risk for most people but can be passive as in conscious but not intentional risk ('price of convenience') but on the Internet many folks not even conscious of the risks they take as if sysadmins need to be told this