In most countries with significant numbers of computers infected by
the Nyxem virus, the infection peaks in the first few days of virus
spread. However in many Spanish-speaking countries in the Americas,
the virus does not take hold until four days after it has peaked on the
other continents and in other countries in North America in which
Spanish is not the dominant language.
This effect is most prominent in Peru, although it is visible as
either the primary peak in infection rate, or a new surge in
infections, in most Spanish-speaking countries in the Americas. The
timing of the second infection peak is otherwise unusual, as it
coincides with a weekend -- typically a quieter period in virus spread
as people engage in recreational activities away from computers.
The infected population in Peru is highly unusual -- it's peak rate
is an order of magnitude larger than that of other countries in the
region. Despite significant investigation in search of specific
anomalies that could represent denial-of-service attacks or other
activity causing non-virus-related hits on the website used to track
the progress of the virus.
Spain, a Spanish-speaking country outside the Americas, shows an
infection peak in the first two days of virus spread, as is typical for
most other countries with significant infected populations. Brazil, a
Portuguese-speaking country in South America also shows the typical
infection pattern with an early peak, leading us to wonder if a
Spanish-language variant of the worm was released four days after the
initial version. It is also possible that this unique pattern is an
artifact of the normal person-to-person spread of the email virus. The
United States and Canada show the typical infection peak in the first
two days of virus spread.
About the Authors:
David Moore is the Technical Director of CAIDA and Ph.D. Candidate in the UCSD Computer Science Department.
Colleen Shannon is a Senior Security Researcher at the Cooperative Association for Internet Data
Analysis (CAIDA) at the San Diego
Supercomputer Center (SDSC) at the University of California, San Diego
(UCSD). David and Colleen also run the UCSD Network Telescope. The
Network Telescope and associated security efforts are a joint project
of the UCSD Computer Science and Engineering Department and the
Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis.
This work was sponsored by:
Grants from Cisco Systems, the National Science Foundation (NSF),
the Department of Homeland
Security (DHS), and CAIDA
members.